East Austin · 78702 · Market Report 2026

East Austin
Market Report

Home prices, STR yield analysis, and the gentrification curve for 78702. The most detailed East Austin market data available.

5.0 ★ Google Reviews 78702 Specialist STR Expert TREC #788149
$650K
Median Asking Price
82
Walk Score
#1
STR Market Austin
186
Active Listings Now
November 2026
Data Current

Sub-Area Price Gradient

Five Sub-Areas,
Five Different Markets

East Austin is not one uniform market. The 78702 zip code contains five distinct sub-areas with meaningfully different price levels, buyer profiles, and STR characteristics. Where your home sits within East Austin is the single most important variable in how it should be priced and marketed.

Sub-Area Median Asking Price Active Listings STR Potential Character
East 6th Core Top of 78702, up to $1.32M 186 zip-wide Highest Bars, restaurants, new construction, highest density
Holly (Lady Bird Lake) $679K 26 High Lake access, hike/bike trail, transitioning blocks
Chestnut / MLK $750K 21 Moderate to high Residential, Manor Road corridor, established bungalows
Govalle / Johnson Terrace $725K 55 Moderate Affordable entry, active appreciation, still gentrifying
Windsor Park (Mueller-adjacent) $465K 45 Moderate Quiet residential, spillover from Mueller demand

The sub-area gradient is the most misunderstood aspect of East Austin pricing. Automated valuation models aggregate the zip code into a single figure (the 78702 median asking price is $650K right now) that describes the average but masks a wide spread between the top and bottom sub-areas. A buyer targeting the East 6th core is in a fundamentally different market than a buyer in Govalle. Luke Allen prices and markets each East Austin property to its specific sub-area buyer pool. See available properties at east-austin-homes-for-sale.

STR Yield Analysis

East Austin's STR Market
Austin's Strongest Airbnb Zip Code

78702 is Austin's top-performing STR zip code by gross income per unit. SXSW in March, ACL and F1 in October, three major annual events that fill Austin's hotels and push nightly rates to multiples of baseline. East Austin captures the overflow because it is walkable from entertainment venues, has the bar and restaurant scene visitors want, and offers the authentic Austin experience that suburban hotels cannot replicate.

Illustrative STR model: the income, yield, nightly rate, and occupancy figures in these cards are underwriting assumptions for comparison, not current quotes or live market data.

Property Type 1

1-Bedroom Condo

$28K to $42K/yr

Assumed purchase price: $430K to $550K

Gross STR yield: 6 to 8% of purchase price

SXSW nightly rate: $250 to $400/night

ACL/F1 nightly rate: $225 to $375/night

Baseline nightly rate: $110 to $160/night

Occupancy assumption: 65% baseline, 90%+ event weeks

Best suited for individual investors. Type 1 STR permit available. Management fees (20 to 25%) reduce net to $21K to $32K.

Property Type 2

2-Bedroom Bungalow

$45K to $65K/yr

Assumed purchase price: $650K to $850K

Gross STR yield: 6 to 8% of purchase price

SXSW nightly rate: $325 to $550/night

ACL/F1 nightly rate: $300 to $500/night

Baseline nightly rate: $145 to $210/night

Occupancy assumption: 68% baseline, 92%+ event weeks

The sweet spot for STR investors. Entire-home rental, no shared walls, outdoor space. Type 2 permit preferred but Type 1 works for owner-occupants.

Property Type 3

3-Bedroom House

$55K to $80K/yr

Assumed purchase price: $800K to $1.1M

Gross STR yield: 6 to 8% of purchase price

SXSW nightly rate: $450 to $750/night

ACL/F1 nightly rate: $400 to $700/night

Baseline nightly rate: $185 to $275/night

Occupancy assumption: 65% baseline, 90%+ event weeks

Highest absolute income. Group bookings during events. Requires active management. Net after fees: $41K to $60K.

These income projections assume professional listing photography, optimized pricing software (PriceLabs or similar), active calendar management, and competitive response to events. Raw income without optimization runs 15 to 25% lower. Luke Allen helps East Austin STR buyers model realistic income projections and evaluate Type 1 vs. Type 2 permit scenarios before purchase. For investment strategy guidance, see the investment properties page.

Event Season Rate Premium (Modeling Assumptions)

Event Timing Duration Rate Premium vs. Baseline Occupancy
SXSW March 10 days 2.5x, 3.5x baseline 95%+
ACL Festival Early October Two weekends 2x, 3x baseline 93%+
Formula 1 USGP Late October 4 to 5 days 2x, 3x baseline 92%+
UT Football Weekends Sept, Nov 7 to 8 weekends 1.3x, 1.6x baseline 82%+
Baseline All other dates ~310 days/yr 1x 60 to 70%

Price History

East Austin 2010 to 2026:
The Full Story

No Austin neighborhood has a more dramatic 16-year appreciation story than East Austin. A $150K bungalow in 2010 now sits in a 78702 market where the median asking price is $650K. Understanding the drivers of each phase helps buyers and sellers interpret the current market correctly.

2010
$175K
2012
$250K
2015
$380K
2017
$460K
2018
$520K
2020
$600K
2021
$760K
2022
$950K
2023
$720K
2024
$715K
2025
$720K
Now (asking)
$650K

Phase 1 (2010 to 2015): Artist and bar discovery. East Austin's first wave of gentrification was driven by artists and bar operators attracted by rents that were a fraction of West Austin. East 6th Street began its transformation during this period. Prices nearly doubled from $175K to $380K as the neighborhood gained national attention.

Phase 2 (2015 to 2020): Restaurant and media recognition. Suerte, Launderette, and Franklin Barbecue (James Beard 2015) drove national press coverage that landed East Austin on "best neighborhoods in America" lists. The restaurant cluster attracted a wealthier buyer who had seen the neighborhood in food media. Prices climbed from $380K to $600K over this period.

Phase 3 (2020 to 2022): COVID-era migration peak. Remote work drove an extraordinary influx of out-of-state buyers who had discovered East Austin through national coverage. Combined with historically low mortgage rates, prices surged from $600K to a $950K median peak, the most dramatic 24-month appreciation in East Austin history.

Phase 4 (2023 onward): Correction and stabilization. Rate normalization in 2023 brought the median down to $720K, a 24% correction from peak. The correction was sharpest in new construction, which had been most aggressively priced. The market stabilized at roughly $715K to $720K through 2024 and 2025, with outer sub-areas like Govalle still seeing modest appreciation as their gentrification curve continues. For a broader market context, see the East Austin market report and the Austin market overview.

The Gentrification Curve

Where Each Sub-Area Sits
on the Curve

East Austin's transformation is not uniform, different sub-areas are at different stages of the gentrification cycle. Understanding where each block sits on the curve is the most important framework for East Austin investment analysis. What East 6th core looked like in 2010 is roughly what Govalle/Johnson Terrace looks like today.

Stage 4, Plateaued

East 6th Core

Fully transformed. Nationally recognized bar and restaurant scene. New construction sits at the top of the 78702 range. Price appreciation has moderated. Buyer pool is sophisticated. Entry-level investors have been priced out. Still strong STR income but cap rates have compressed.

Stage 3, Maturing

Holly / Chestnut

Well along the transformation curve. Lady Bird Lake access in Holly driving premium pricing. Chestnut stable residential character. Mixed original bungalows and renovated properties. Some remaining upside but the easy appreciation has occurred.

Stage 2, Active

Windsor Park

Active transition. Mueller spillover demand is driving renovation investment and new construction. Original bungalows and new builds coexist. Still below the East 6th price ceiling with room to run as the sub-area matures. Near-term appreciation outlook positive.

Stage 1, Early

Govalle / Johnson Terrace

Earliest stage in East Austin's outer ring. Affordable entry by East Austin standards, with a median asking price currently at $725K. Still primarily original bungalows with scattered renovation and new construction. Appreciation here has outpaced the more mature sub-areas in recent years. Highest remaining runway but also highest tolerance for uncertainty required.

The gentrification curve analysis is how Luke Allen helps East Austin buyers understand trade-offs between paying current market price in a mature sub-area vs. buying early in an appreciating sub-area with more uncertainty. Neither is categorically right, it depends on the buyer's risk tolerance, timeline, and goals.

Bungalow vs. New Construction

The Price Gap Between
Original, Renovated & New

East Austin has three distinct property categories that trade at meaningfully different price points and attract meaningfully different buyers. Understanding the renovation economics, and the teardown/redevelopment alternative, is essential for any serious East Austin buyer or seller.

Category Typical Asking Price (Live) Buyer Type Modeled STR Income (Est.) Notes
Original Condition Bungalow Near $445K Renovation buyers, developers, patient investors $32K to $45K/yr At or near land value. Kitchen/bath original. Systems may need replacement. Inspection critical.
Renovated Bungalow Around $799K Owner-occupants, STR investors, creative buyers $45K to $65K/yr Updated kitchen and baths. Modern systems. Character preserved. Best of both worlds.
New Construction (Spec/Townhome) Median $899K Buyers who want new, luxury STR operators $55K to $80K/yr Modern finishes, energy efficient, no deferred maintenance. HOA may apply. Highest price, highest income ceiling.
Duplex / Income Property Median $799K Investors, house hackers $60K to $95K/yr Two units. One owner-occupied (Type 1 STR), one rental. The most financially efficient East Austin structure for investor-occupants.

The renovation math: A typical East Austin bungalow renovation, kitchen replacement ($45K to $65K), master bath ($20K to $35K), secondary bath ($15K to $25K), HVAC replacement ($12K to $18K), electrical panel ($8K to $15K), landscaping ($10K to $20K), totals approximately $110K to $178K in major work. For example, a $530K bungalow with $150K in renovation that reaches a $750K to $850K market value would represent $70K to $170K in equity creation above cost. The calculus depends on finding the right bungalow at the right price with a clear scope. Luke Allen specializes in identifying East Austin bungalows with renovation upside and connecting buyers to vetted local contractors who understand the neighborhood's specific construction context.

STR Permitting

Type 1 vs. Type 2 STR
How Permits Affect Pricing

Austin's STR permit structure has a direct and measurable effect on East Austin property values, specifically for investment buyers. Understanding the two permit types is essential for anyone buying or selling an East Austin property with STR income potential.

Type 1 STR (Owner-Occupied): Available to homeowners who use the property as their primary residence. You can rent your home (or part of it) when you are not present. Type 1 permits are available in East Austin with annual renewal through the City of Austin. A Type 1 property generates strong STR income during SXSW, ACL, and F1, the periods when the owner can plan to travel and the property earns 2.5x, 3.5x nightly baseline. For owner-occupants who want to offset their mortgage with event-week income, Type 1 is the path. A well-managed Type 1 property can earn meaningful event-week income while the owner occupies it the rest of the year.

Type 2 STR (Non-Owner-Occupied): Allows full investment property STR operation without owner presence. The City of Austin has capped Type 2 permits in residential areas, making existing Type 2 permits supply-constrained. A property sold with an active Type 2 STR permit commands a premium, the market value of unrestricted full-time STR operation in Austin's top STR zip code. Buyers who specifically need a Type 2 permit to execute their investment model will pay above comparable sales for a permitted property. Luke Allen tracks Type 2 permit status for every East Austin property and ensures sellers price their homes to capture the permit premium when applicable.

The practical effect: an East Austin property with an active Type 2 STR permit and a proven income record may justify a purchase price meaningfully above what comparable sales alone would support, because the permit and the income documentation de-risk the investment thesis. Luke Allen helps buyers evaluate this premium and helps sellers quantify and capture it at listing.

Neighborhood Comparison

East Austin vs. Mueller, Travis Heights
& Bouldin Creek

East Austin occupies a unique position in Austin's inner-loop neighborhood hierarchy. Here is how 78702 compares to the three most frequent alternatives buyers consider.

Factor East Austin Mueller Travis Heights Bouldin Creek
Median Asking Price (Live) $650K $482K $699K $925K
Walk Score 82 78 72 80
STR Income Potential Highest Moderate High High
Neighborhood HOA None Yes ($100 to $150/mo) None None
Bar/Restaurant Scene Best in Austin Aldrich Street South Congress nearby South Congress nearby
New Construction Activity Active / Ongoing Built out Limited Limited
Architecture Bungalows + New Spec Green-built planned Historic Craftsman Vintage mixed
Bike Commute to Downtown 15 to 18 min 20 to 25 min 12 to 15 min 10 to 14 min
Price History Trajectory Steepest run since 2010 Strong since 2015 Steady since 2012 Steady since 2012

East Austin's STR income potential is the differentiator no other comparable neighborhood can match at this price point. Mueller is a compelling alternative for green-building buyers who want a master-planned environment, but it has historically traded below East Austin for a reason, it lacks East Austin's bar and restaurant scene, its STR income, and its ongoing new construction opportunity. Travis Heights and Bouldin Creek offer South Austin character, typically at a premium; compare the live medians above. Luke Allen helps buyers make this comparison with current data. See the Mueller realtor page for Mueller-specific guidance.

Frequently Asked Questions

East Austin Market
FAQ

The median asking price for active listings in East Austin (78702) is $650K right now, and most active listings are asking between $315K for entry-level condos and smaller bungalows and $1.32M for premium new construction in East 6th core. For comparison, Mueller's median asking price is currently $482K and Hyde Park's is $400K. East Austin's pricing reflects its unique STR income potential, nationally recognized bar and restaurant scene, and continued new construction. Luke Allen tracks current East Austin pricing continuously and can provide a current market analysis for any specific address.
It depends on your investment thesis. Govalle/Johnson Terrace offers the strongest remaining appreciation runway at one of the lowest entry prices in 78702, with active gentrification. East 6th Core offers the highest STR income with the most compressed cap rates. Holly is the best option for buyers who want lakeside lifestyle proximity with strong STR income. Windsor Park offers Mueller-adjacent stability with modest appreciation. Luke Allen evaluates the right sub-area for each buyer's specific timeline, risk tolerance, and income goals.
East Austin peaked at approximately $950K median in 2022 and corrected to $720K in 2023, a decline of roughly 24% from peak. The correction was sharpest in new construction, which had been most aggressively priced at $1.1M to $1.4M during the peak. The resale bungalow segment held better, correcting approximately 18 to 20%. East Austin stabilized at roughly $715K to $720K through 2024 and 2025. The correction was painful for 2021 to 2022 buyers but restored affordability for a new wave of buyers who had been priced out during the run-up.
East Austin is Austin's strongest STR market and one of the strongest in Texas. The combination of SXSW, ACL, and F1, three nationally significant annual events, creates predictable high-occupancy periods that allow East Austin STR operators to earn strong gross yields. As an illustrative estimate, a well-managed 2-bedroom bungalow in East 6th core can gross $45,000 to $65,000/year. The key considerations are permit type (Type 1 vs. Type 2), location within 78702, and management quality. Luke Allen helps STR buyers model realistic income before purchase.
An active Type 2 STR permit (non-owner-occupied) can add real value to an East Austin property when sold to an investment buyer. The permit allows full-time STR operation without owner presence, and because the City of Austin has capped Type 2 permit supply in residential areas, existing permits are a scarce asset. A buyer who needs Type 2 to execute a pure investment STR model will pay a meaningful premium above comparable sales for a property that comes with an active permit and proven income records.
Mueller's median asking price is currently $482K, compared with $650K in 78702, and it offers a master-planned community with HOA infrastructure, 30-acre lake park, and green-built homes. East Austin offers no neighborhood HOA, the best bar and restaurant scene in Austin, higher STR income potential, and an active new construction market. For a first-time buyer who prioritizes community infrastructure and lower entry price, Mueller may be compelling. For a buyer who wants to live in Austin's most vibrant cultural neighborhood with income potential, East Austin wins. Luke Allen provides a detailed comparison for any buyer weighing both options.
There is no neighborhood-wide HOA in East Austin, a significant distinction from Mueller, which carries a $100 to $150/month community HOA. Individual condominiums and some townhome developments have their own building-level HOAs, which should be reviewed carefully for reserve fund adequacy and restriction on STR activity. Many East Austin condo HOAs explicitly prohibit STR operation, a critical consideration for buyers purchasing for investment. Luke Allen reviews HOA documents for every East Austin purchase and flags STR restrictions before a buyer makes an offer.
The key variables for an East Austin bungalow renovation analysis are: (1) Lot size and zoning, some lots allow ADU addition, which substantially changes the investment economics; (2) Foundation type and condition, pier and beam foundations in 1930s, 1950s bungalows can be excellent or can have costly issues; (3) Original electrical and plumbing, knob-and-tube wiring and galvanized plumbing are common and expensive to replace; (4) HVAC, original-condition homes often have no ductwork and require new system design; (5) Flood zone status; (6) Sub-area location, same scope of renovation generates different returns depending on which East Austin sub-area the home is in. Luke Allen helps buyers build a realistic renovation budget before making an offer.

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Market Analysis

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5.0 Google Rating 41 Five-Star Reviews TREC #788149 78702 Specialist

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Live MLS data · as of November 12, 2026

East Austin market right now

39
Active Listings
$580K
Median Asking Price
$451
Median Ask $/sqft
106
Median Days Listed
67%
Have Cut Price
Current read Leaning toward buyers 67% of active East Austin listings are priced below their original ask, and 0 new listings have come on in the last 7 days.
9Under $400K
11$400K to $600K
8$600K to $1M
10$1M to $2M
1Over $2M

Asking prices of active residential listings in ACTRIS MLS, computed by Luke Allen (TREC #788149). Refreshed every 30 minutes. Days listed are counted from each listing's list date.

About the Author
Luke Allen, Austin TX Realtor, TREC #788149
Luke Allen
Licensed Austin TX Realtor · TREC #788149 · Full-time since 2019
★★★★★ 5.0 on Google · 41 Reviews

Luke Allen is a full-time Austin TX Realtor with the Austin Marketing + Development Group brokerage. He works with buyers, sellers, and investors across every Austin ISD and the surrounding neighborhoods, from Downtown and East Austin to Round Rock, Cedar Park, and the Hill Country. Every page on this site is written and maintained by Luke. The written content was last updated on November 11, 2026. Market figures on this page update automatically from ACTRIS MLS data and were last refreshed on November 12, 2026.

📞 (254) 718-2567 [email protected] More about Luke →